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2010 shaping up to be worse for home sellers

Last year was one of the toughest in decades for those looking to sell a home, but 2010, if current foreclosure rates hold, is shaping up to be even tougher.

For buyers, though, the news of weaker home prices may be easier to swallow. Case in point: A manufactured home on 2.6 acres in Jamestown sold this year for $20,000. Such a deal would have been unheard of during the peak of the recent housing bubble, which burst nationwide in 2008.


Most of the good buys are foreclosed homes. And their low prices are having a ripple effect on the entire local housing market, say housing experts, with market-rate sellers forced to compete with foreclosure prices.
    Tuolumne County’s median home price, according to the county Assessor-Recorder’s Office, is $219,000 — far below the county’s peak in 2006 of $330,000.
    According to Assessor-Recorder statistics, more foreclosure filings have been recorded in the first quarter of 2010 than the first quarter of 2009, which was a record-breaking year going back at least to the 1980s. Local foreclosure data beyond the 1980s was not readily available.
    The first quarter of 2009 in Tuolumne County saw 391 foreclosure filings, compared to 434 in the first quarter of this year. At the current pace, 2010 will see 1,736 foreclosure filings by year’s end; 2009 saw 1,657 filings in all.
    The figures take into account all stages of the foreclosure process, including the notice of default, notice of trustee sale and the transfer of the property to the bank.
    Calaveras County is seeing a similar rise in foreclosure numbers. Foreclosures are so high there that the Calaveras County Water District has taken a funding hit as people abandon their homes following foreclosure.
    Ann Ritchie, head of the Tuolumne County Association of Realtors, sees two things contributing to the current high rate of foreclosures.
    One big factor is loans with teaser rates and interest-only loans that have adjusted, sending monthly payments higher. Homebuyers with such loans were often told they could simply refinance to get a better deal prior to the rate increase — or, better yet, sell their home at a big profit, Ritchie said.
    The other factor is job loss, she said.
    In Tuolumne County — excluding the Lake Don Pedro, Groveland and Big Oak Flat areas — 124 homes have been sold in the past year through the local multiple-listing service, a real estate broker sale cooperative, according to Ritchie.
    Of those, 50 were bank-owned — that is, foreclosed properties — and 15 were short-sales, homes sold for less than the remaining balance on the mortgage. Short sales are usually done when a property is nearing foreclosure and a bank is desperate to salvage some part of its investment.
    Of the homes sold through the Tuolumne County multiple-listing service in the past year, 58 cost between $200,000 and $300,000; 18 were over $300,000 and 10 were under $100,000.
    The cheapest property sold was the $20,000 Jamestown property. It was followed by a $32,000 home on .21 acres and a $56,000 home on .31 acres, both of which are located just outside Sonora.
    In other words, Ritchie said, “It’s at the lower end that we’re seeing sales.”
    Buyers are also eyeing foreclosed subdivisions. For instance, the foreclosed Lakeside Estates subdivision near Tulloch Reservoir was purchased last week for $800,000. Also, developers recently submitted plans to Tuolumne County to turn a property near Big Oak Flat known as The Scar — due to failed site plans over the years – into a bus-staging area for Yosemite and a site littered with visitor amenities.
    Other recent big foreclosures include the Greenley Oaks subdivision, just off Cabezut Road near Sonora, and Sonora Meadows subdivision off of Jamestown Road. Both pieces of land went into foreclosure last fall.
    Ritchie suspects there are even more foreclosures out there that aren’t showing up in official statistics.     Chris Garnin, a broker with Coldwell Banker Segerstrom in Sonora, wouldn’t be surprised to see more foreclosed properties snatched up simply because they’re a great buying opportunity.
    “There are tremendous price incentives in their inventory right now,” he said. In addition, interest rates are extremely low, Garnin said, though, he added, due to tighter lending standards, not everyone can take advantage of the rates.
    “There’s been a return to old standards,” he said.
    The federal government, he noted, has also created an $18,000 first-time homebuyer credit, which, according to Garnin, is unprecedented.
    “It’s a great time to be a buyer,” he said.

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